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 Post subject: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Sun Apr 05, 2009 2:20 PM 
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It's that time again. Let's put our homerism aside and try to predict the season this year.

American League

West
Oakland
Los Angeles
Texas
Seattle

Central
Detroit
Cleveland
Minnesota
Chicago
Kansas City

East
Boston
New York
Tampa Bay
Toronto
Baltimore

Wild Card: New York Yankees

Division Series: NY Yankees over Detroit Tigers, Boston Red Sox over Oakland A's
NL Championship Series: NY over Boston

National League

West
Los Angeles
Arizona
San Francisco
Colorado
San Diego

Central
Chicago
Milwaukee
St. Louis
Houston
Pittsburgh
Cincinnati

East
New York
Philadelphia
Florida
Washington
Atlanta

Wild Card: Philadelphia Phillies

Division Series: NY Mets over Philadelphia Phillies, Chicago Cubs over LA Dodgers
NL Championship Series: Chicago over NY

World Series: NY Yankees over Chicago Cubs


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Sun Apr 05, 2009 7:25 PM 
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AL West - who cares
AL Central - Chicago White Sox
AL East- Yankees
Wild Card - Boston

Yankees over who cares, White Sox over Boston. White Sox over Yankees

NL West - Arizona
NL Central - Chicago Cubs
NL East - Philadelphia
Wild Card - Florida

Florida over Philadelphia, Cubs over Arizona, Florida over Cubs

White Sox over Florida.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 7:51 AM 
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I'll do my picks later this week but I have to ask, with the Twins always finishing 1st or 2nd in their divison why do people still pick them as 3rd? Every year every major publication picks them 3rd. It makes no sense.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 8:24 AM 
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Ugh. Is Atlanta going to be that bad? I don't follow baseball but we get around 20 free tickets a year and I was planning on going to several games.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 9:00 AM 
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Atlanta will be better than they were last year. It looks like they have a pretty decent starting rotation. Now if they could just score some runs.

Will post my picks later today.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 9:00 AM 
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OPENING DAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY

AL West Angels
AL Central Twins
AL East Rays
Wild Card Tigers

Angels over Twins, Rays over Tigers
Angels over Rays

NL West Dodgers
NL Central Cubs
NL East Mets
Wild Card Cardinals

Cubs over Dodgers, Mets over Cardinals (lol)
Cubs over Mets

Angels over Cubs

also if mlb 2k9 is any indicator, nelson cruz for your texas rangers will have 270 homeruns this year and will win all the awards

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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 9:01 AM 
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Minnesota has a really shaky offense. Mauer is injured and looks like he might not produce even after he comes back, leaving everything on the shoulders of Mourneau. Their pitching is fairly good, but now Scott Baker is out for at least 2 weeks which could point to more problems later on. The only real bright spot for the Twins is Liriano coming back at hopefully full strength, but if he's not a top 5 pitcher in the league they could have problems staying over .500.

The AL Central is really just a crapshoot, though. I think Detroit is the only team that definitely has no shot at winning it. Cleveland probably has the best shot, they are fairly balanced on both sides, but Cliff Lee probably won't match his great performance from last year and Fausto Carmona is a big question mark. Their other starters are all pretty bad, but their bullpen is good.

The White Sox are the same White Sox of the last couple of years. They've got all the tools they need to win, but it's going to come down to whether or not Ozzie can get the whole package working.

Kansas City has a decent shot at contending. They'll need to have a beakout year from some of their guys, which isn't looking too unlikely right now. If another team like Cleveland runs away with the division, they won't be able to keep up. If the range to take the divisions stays around 88-89 wins, then Kansas City has as good a shot as anyone.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 9:14 AM 
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Not a baseball fan, but I like the Royals shoutout! I'll be up there tailgating for Saturday's game vs the Yanks!


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 10:06 AM 
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AL East:
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays (Wild Card)
Boston Red Sox (will fight for the wildcard)
Toronto Blue Jays (not too far off the pace)
Baltimore Orioles (could be the worst team in the League)

AL Central:
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins (will fight for WC)
Kansas City (lots of youth, may suprise)
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers

AL West:
Los Angeles Angles (not in a run away, they have too many issues to start the season)
Texas Rangers (will be closer to the division champ than the WC)
Seattle Mariners
Oakland (another restart year here)

NL East:
New York Mets (third time's a charm?)
Philadelphia Phillies (Wild Card)
Atlanta Braves (will finish over .500)
Florida Marlins
Washington Nationals

NL Central:
Chicago Cubs (will flirt with best record again)
St. Louis Cardinals (will be in Wild Card hunt)
Milwaukee Brewers (Offense will have to carry them, lost a lot of pitching)
Cincinnati Reds (close, but not yet)
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates (not horrible this season)

NL West:
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks (lots of pitching!)
Colorado Rockies (key players will rebound)
San Diego Padres
San Francisco Giants (out of it by the break)

Division Championships:
Yankees over Rays (WC)
Indians over Angles

Cubs over Phillies (WC)
Mets over Dodgers

League Championships:
Indians over Yankees
Cubs over Mets

World Series:
no one (will be called on the count that neither the Cubs nor the trib can win the World Series)
-or-
Cubs over Indians


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 2:36 PM 
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It is utterly baffling to me that the AL West only has four teams while the NL Central has six teams. Why MLB cannot have five teams per division is beyond my comprehension. Then again, MLB has never been pro-logic...

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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 2:58 PM 
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Actually it is logical. If you have three leagues with five teams in each league then you would see a major scheduling issue. You would either require teams to play inter-league games all season or you would force teams to have a day off during the weekend and on holidays (the most attended days for teams). By having the NL Central with six teams gives the NL 16 teams and the AL 14 teams which allows for even scheduling.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 4:34 PM 
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Ummm.... what?

I will take my Detroit Tigers just cause of the home town. If there were six divisions of 5 teams, 162 game schedule...

18 games vs division opponents = 72
8 games vs league opponents = 80
10 games, 3 series inter league = 10

Total = 162 games

As it stands now, you have 13 teams in the NL fighting for 1 Wild Card position... whereas you have 11 teams in the AL fighting for 1 Wild Card chance. Slightly better odds in the AL.

I guess I am baffled by your logic of having a weekend day off. Series are usually 3 games; some are only 2 games during the week, some are 4 games- either during week or long weekend series. I don't see how you could not use my above scenario and schedule appropriately.

Of course you could change things around too if you want. Instead of 6 3 game series against divisional foes, just make it 17 total games. Gives you an extra 5 games that you can add to interleague for a total of 15 games. Or something to that effect.

I guess your logic on the baseball schedule just baffles me. Sorry.

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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 4:42 PM 
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Moving teams to other Divisions/Leagues isn't as easy as "this makes sense, let's do it."


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 6:31 PM 
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OK, let me break it down for you. If there were 15 teams in each league on any given day you would have AT BEST seven teams playing each other, for 14 teams playing; leaving one team idle. Baseball schedules most of it's games around the weekends and holidays, because that is when most people have an opportunity to go to the games. So if you had one team that was idle for a weekend or a holiday you would be cutting into the total attendance for the clubs AND you would be extending the season because it would take longer to get 162 games played. Baseball must have even numbers of teams in each of the leagues to make scheduling work.

The reason why there would be a "weekend day off" is because there are only a few series of interleague games and they are not played throughout the whole season. Baseball does not want a situation such as the Yankees playing the Pirates on the final weekend for the division title yet have the Red Sox face Tampa. Also each team plays 18 interleague games and they are all played before the All-Star break (so they don't have an impact on divisional races)


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 9:19 PM 
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And the light bulb just went off LOL.

That makes far more sense. 15 teams, only 14 are playing at a time, and if they play a 3 game series then a team is not playing for those three days. I *suppose* they could have it so that the two teams in each league not playing each other can do their interleague series... but like you say, they don't want August and September for pennant races being affected by interleague. Which makes sense.

Of course, adding two teams to the AL would alleviate the above scenario. Everyone can play at once, schedules would be fine, and more money to MLB provided the two teams can support a franchise. Not sure exactly which cities are out there that could handle a baseball team- actually after thinking bout it more, I don't believe there are two cities that can handle the economics and attendance a baseball team needs to survive and be successful. Unless you think outside the country like Cuba, Puerto Rico, Vancouver (although Seattle is close I believe), etc etc.

It still looks odd, but at least I understand. That was a better explanation krby, thanks!

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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Sun Oct 04, 2009 9:40 PM 
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This makes a pretty good necro right now. I forgot to make my picks but at least I was right about people picking the Twins to finish no better than 3rd. Amazing last month for a Twins fan.

Little snippet from an article by Jayson Stark on Espn.

Before Mauer came along to do his Ted Williams impersonation, two catchers in the history of the universe had ever won a batting title -- neither of them in the past six decades, incidentally. By next week, Mauer will have won three of them -- which would be more than all 2 billion previous catchers combined -- by age 26. But this year, he decided to branch out and start doing stuff that almost nobody at any position has done in his lifetime. Unless he goes 0-for-the rest of the year, he's going to become the first American Leaguer since George Brett (1980) to lead the league in batting (.366), on-base percentage (.442) and slugging (.591) in the same season. And he's tossed in 28 homers in his spare time -- which happens to be almost as many as Pudge Rodriguez, Matt Wieters and Russell Martin have hit put together (29). But if you've digested all that and still think the MVP of this league is somebody else, jot this down: If Mauer finishes the year with numbers this high in all these categories, he'd be the first AL hitter to do that since Ted Williams. And before Ted, only Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Joe DiMaggio and Earl Averill were in that club. Any time you're hanging out with a group like that, while playing a position like catcher on a team that had no business being in contention till the last weekend of the season, there's a term for that: M-V-P.


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 1:00 PM 
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Let us see how I did...
krby71 wrote:
AL East:
New York Yankees - correct
Tampa Bay Rays (Wild Card) Wrong, they did fight for the WC.
Boston Red Sox (will fight for the wildcard) wrong, they won the WC
Toronto Blue Jays (not too far off the pace) - Correct
Baltimore Orioles (could be the worst team in the League) - Correct about placement, and worst record in AL

AL Central:
Cleveland Indians - big miss
Minnesota Twins (will fight for WC) - fighting for Division, not WC
Kansas City (lots of youth, may suprise) - looked good for a while
Chicago White Sox - miss
Detroit Tigers - big miss

AL West:
Los Angeles Angles (not in a run away, they have too many issues to start the season) - correct
Texas Rangers (will be closer to the division champ than the WC) - correct
Seattle Mariners - correct
Oakland (another restart year here) correct

NL East:
New York Mets (third time's a charm?) - ouch
Philadelphia Phillies (Wild Card) - Won division in run
Atlanta Braves (will finish over .500) - correct
Florida Marlins - small miss
Washington Nationals - correct

NL Central:
Chicago Cubs (will flirt with best record again) - miss
St. Louis Cardinals (will be in Wild Card hunt) - won division
Milwaukee Brewers (Offense will have to carry them, lost a lot of pitching) - correct
Cincinnati Reds (close, but not yet) - correct
Houston Astros - correct
Pittsburgh Pirates (not horrible this season) - correct

NL West:
Los Angeles Dodgers - correct
Arizona Diamondbacks (lots of pitching!) - big miss
Colorado Rockies (key players will rebound) - they rebounded, to win WC
San Diego Padres - correct
San Francisco Giants (out of it by the break) - miss

Division Championships:
Yankees over Rays (WC) - Rays out
Indians over Angles - Tribe out

Cubs over Phillies (WC) - Cubs out
Mets over Dodgers - Mets out

League Championships:
Indians over Yankees
Cubs over Mets

World Series:
no one (will be called on the count that neither the Cubs nor the tribe can win the World Series)
-or-
Cubs over Indians- Both missed the playoffs


Missed a lot of playoff picks, was right on many others. Glad to see the Cards back in the playoffs


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 2:51 PM 
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My picks were pretty brutal but at least I can still get the World Series winner correct!


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 Post subject: Re: 2009 MLB Predictions
PostPosted: Mon Oct 05, 2009 6:23 PM 
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Way late, but I'm going to post anyways ;)

Angels over Boston in the ALDS
Yankees over Tigers/Twins in the ALDS

ALCS:

Angels over the Yankees

St. Louis over the Dodgers in the NLDS
The Phillies over the Rockies in the NLDS

NLCS:

The Phillies over St. Louis

World Series:

Angels over The Phillies

I will be there for the first games of the Angels ALDS and ALCS home games. Oh, I can't wait to see the Red Sox LOSE against my boys later this week!


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