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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Mon Jun 01, 2009 9:24 PM 
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Taking the long view enables a company not only to take public goods like economic stability and environmental performance into account, but also to fund the kind of innovative projects that can lead to long-term profitability. It was long-view innovation that enabled Apple to create the MP3 player market, and to continue to crush the competition.

In GM's case, I hope this means a shift away from gas guzzlers, and toward the future: hybrid electric vehicles.
Two things I take issue with.

The measure that happened today was supposed to be a short-term action with likely long-term negative consequences. It's a bit of a conflict with what you wrote. Additionally, even the average CEO doesn't generally have free reign to change everything they want. Their vision needs to coincide with the board and the vision of the most influential stakeholders.

Second, the *market* should dictate the direction a company goes, not an altruistic goal of making the world better. While GM is taking the noble road, its competitors will come underneath and take the market that does exist right out from under them.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Mon Jun 01, 2009 9:39 PM 
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I have to say though, that even if you don't agree with the "Marxist" (lol) stuff going on, there is a point at which the Government does feel the responsibility to protect a majority of its populace from the economic damage potentially caused by the poor performance of such a tremendous corporation.

Just saying...maybe not everything the government does is nefarious.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 12:30 AM 
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Bovinity Divinity wrote:
I have to say though, that even if you don't agree with the "Marxist" (lol) stuff going on, there is a point at which the Government does feel the responsibility to protect a majority of its populace from the economic damage potentially caused by the poor performance of such a tremendous corporation.


Nope. To a SMALL degree in a regulated industry, but we're not talking the airlines here (which is another rant entirely in terms of government interference).

Bovinity Divinity wrote:
Just saying...maybe not everything the government does is nefarious.


Just inadequate.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 5:58 AM 
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joxur wrote:
Second, the *market* should dictate the direction a company goes, not an altruistic goal of making the world better.


that's great in theory, but the market is what caused this problem and GM's inability to react. letting the market play out naturally would have a substantially negative effect on our national economy and so some interference is going to be necessary. i wish better action had been taken a year ago before it was as bad as it is now, but wishes don't do the dishes.

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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 8:01 AM 
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that's great in theory, but the market is what caused this problem and GM's inability to react. letting the market play out naturally would have a substantially negative effect on our national economy and so some interference is going to be necessary. i wish better action had been taken a year ago before it was as bad as it is now, but wishes don't do the dishes.
You're exhibiting a significant lack of understanding of what "the market" is. The market is driven by business and consumer demand, and the government cannot control that - at all. The Market didn't cause GMs inability to react, GM caused GMs inability to react. Most other major auto makers, while hurting, don't seem to have the same issues adapting to the market - certainly not to the same extent.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 8:43 AM 
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Yes but, according to the last quarterly earnings announcement, GM employs 235,000 people in every major region of the world, more than half of which are employed in America. That only includes people who receive their checks directly from GM. According to a message to dealers from GM's corporate website, they currently have a dealership network of 6246 across the country. If the average dealership employs 50 people (probably a conservative estimate), that's another 312,300 unemployed to go along with the 117,500 new jobless Americans that came about by the market letting GM shut its doors.

I understand "the market," despite your condescension. What I don't understand is how you think "the market" creating 430,000 unemployed people in a day is a good thing. Hey, I wish GM would have un-fucked itself years ago, too, and I don't like the way the government is interfering and don't think it will be a lasting solution unless GM is under government control for a decade, but I also don't think that allowing the lights to go off and deliver a significant blow to the US economy because "hey that's the market" is a viable option. They're doing something. Maybe it's not what is absolutely right, but please explain to me how the alternative is what is absolutely right.

Or just go ahead and parrot the same thing that everyone else has said for the last two pages without saying anything new.

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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 8:53 AM 
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I'm specifically NOT arguing that we should let GM fail. You're ignoring that, completely. I'm arguing that the government having a significant longterm ownership stake in one of the largest companies in the world is a bad thing.

Here are some other thoughts on things that could be done without letting it fail. They may be terrible, but they seem more reasonable to me.

1) Split each carmaker into individual companies and sell them off. Sink or swim on your own. Continue pouring money into the company to prop it up until they can give it a good 'ol college try. This rather nicely solves the whole "it's too big to fail" if it ever happens in the future, btw. You realize that is what the government is already doing with the non-core brands like Hummer, Saturn, etc. Hummer announced sale today.

2) Do everything that we're doing without the US govt having an ownership stake in the company. Continue to pour money into GM and force it to go bankrupt, with lots of oversight but no ownership stake.

My problem is that no one is articulating, either here or the Obama admin itself - why the US govt OWNING GM is a good thing. I see only bad things, and no one has refuted them. The biggest two downsides being that I think it's a terrible investment and that the conflicts of interest are huge.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 9:05 AM 
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2) Do everything that we're doing without the US govt having an ownership stake in the company. Continue to pour money into GM and force it to go bankrupt, with lots of oversight but no ownership stake.

My problem is that no one is articulating, either here or the Obama admin itself - why the US govt OWNING GM is a good thing. I see only bad things, and no one has refuted them. The biggest two downsides being that I think it's a terrible investment and that the conflicts of interest are huge.


I copied your #2 with this quote because it's relavent to the comment I am going to make to that last paragraph.

Your suggestion #2 says to "keep pouring money" into the company, but receive nothing from it. I believe they included an ownership stake purely as a way to try to recoup some of the money at a future date. I believe Obama when he says (repeatedly) that it is not a long term stake, that as soon as the company is stable they will sell their stake to recoup the money and be done with it.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2009 9:10 AM 
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I hope we do, Fribur. I don't see it happening that way, but I hope we do. Besides, presumably we're getting the "save hundreds of thousands of jobs" out of it, rather than a direct ROI.

Besides, there are a ton of things we've poured money into and will receive nothing from. AIG, for example.

David Brooks made some good points in the NYT.. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/02/opini ... ef=opinion I wish I could find someone who likes the deal. RCP is full of editorials and columns of people who hate it, including liberals who rarely criticize Obama's actions.

Quote:
Third, the Obama approach reduces the fear that impels change. The U.S. government will own most of G.M. It would be politically suicidal for the Democrats, or whoever is in power, to pull the plug on the company — now or ever. Therefore, the current managers can rest assured that they never need to fear liquidation again. There will always be federal subsidies for their own mediocrity.
I'm inclined to agree. I would say the government has a bad track record of letting go of programs once they are started.. but the reality is they have NO track record of letting programs go.

If there were a bill of some sort with language stating the company would be sold after a certain date, profitability factor or something else, I might feel differently.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Thu Jun 04, 2009 5:50 PM 
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Well, damn. That didn't even last a week:

Barney Frank convinces GM CEO to keep his district's plant open
http://briefingroom.thehill.com/2009/06 ... o-meeting/

Quote:
Rep Barney Frank (D-Mass.) won a stay of execution on Thursday for a General Motors plant in his district that the automaker had announced it would close.

No other lawmaker has managed to halt the GM ax. As chairman of the House Financial Services Committee Frank oversees the government's bailout program, known as TARP. Frank's staff said the lawmaker spokes with GM CEO Fritz Henderson on Wednesday and convinced him to keep the Norton, Mass. plant open for at least 14 months.


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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2009 3:49 PM 
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I'm inclined to agree. I would say the government has a bad track record of letting go of programs once they are started.. but the reality is they have NO track record of letting programs go.

If there were a bill of some sort with language stating the company would be sold after a certain date, profitability factor or something else, I might feel differently.

About the only example I have is when Reagan spun the government-controlled Conrail off into a private corporation back in the '80s. That may well be the only time government has ever let go of anything that was in its grip.

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 Post subject: Re: White House auto
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2009 5:11 PM 
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The government let go of five teachers in my district this year.


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