DoctorX wrote:
Argrax wrote:
In order to say with 100% certainty that the sun will not explode tomorrow, you have to have absolute knowledge of the above and PROVE you have absolute knowledge of the above; you bear the burden of proof, not me, not Tarot.
I have asked for the evidence otherwise since
Tarot--and now you--
claim it can.
No, I claim it is possible.
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Demonstrate that it can.
I showed one scenario which is
possible.
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You claim you cannot but point to the possibility of "knowledge" we do not know about that might make it possible. That is argumentum ad ignorantiam.
Sorry I claim I cannot what? Not clear on that. Oh show you the bomb, it's based on what we know. It should be possible. Is there a chance it might not be for a variety of reasons? Sure, as it's theoretical...no one has dark matter sitting around in a lab, not even CERN.
However I think you'd agree that an impact event (such as a very large astroid or partial planatoid) slamming into earth would be theoretically an extinction level event. I believe it's in the (interesting to me, and I think I posted it
elsewhere once upon a time) list of 10 ways the earth (or more specifically humanity) could be destroyed. Do you accept
that is possible, or would I have to produce the object on a collision course before you would say that it's even
possible?
I'm sure it's not your intention, but I have the impression from my POV that you're moving goalposts. I do not have to demonstrate that the sun can be destroyed by...destroying it. I merely had to demonstrate that it was
possible. Which, I have.
Wouldn't your position that the sun will rise tomorrow because it cannot be destroyed be argument from ignorance? I did rather well in fallacies, though I tend to take too literal a view.
I don't do well with the grey areas unfortunately *sigh*...but I did get an 'A' (yay me!). Anyway again, I think that I have demonstrated that it *is* possible, however unlikely. Additionally without knowing all the factors, I don't think one can make an absolute statement. I also recall (humourously enough) the statement about the sun rising tomorrow in discussing fallacies. That because it has always risen, doesn't mean that we can
assume it always will. It's not a fact that the sun has risen, until it does. There is a chance, even if so remote as to not deserve serious scrutiny or concern, that it might not. We certainly know stars can end. Of course what we also know about it is that it takes a very long time and the 'natural' death of our star will happen long after you and I are dust. Yet even if we currently didn't have the ability to observe the death of stars (if we could not see stars in the sky), we couldn't say the sun was eternal because it's "always" been there by our observations. Not only would that not be true (as we know) but it's simply not a statement we can make because absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.
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Back to the root of the disagreement though. Am I understanding your position (you will of course correct me if I'm wrong!
)
Your position is: That any entity having
knowledge of what will happen does not necessarily (or does not at all?) cause predetermination.
Mere knowledge is not enough. (Bolding that as I think it's the crux). In order for predetermination to take place, there would have to be some interference, some overt act.
Is that correct?
If so, here's what I'm saying, because I feel like I'm not explaining it well enough. If you simply disagree, that's fine, I just want to be sure you understand what I'm saying.
If there is knowledge of what will happen in the future, and if that prediction is absolutely perfect (cannot be wrong) then there is predetermination of the future and no free will. The ability of exercising choice, which is free will, requires that there be actual choices.
If the future is known, and is absolute, then there simply IS NOT A CHOICE. There is only the highly convincing illusion of choice. If A is 100%, and therefore all other options 0%, those other "options" are not options at all. It cannot be anything but A. Therefore while we have the convincing illusion that it was our choice to pick A...the other options were never possibilities, the probability was 0%.
Is that clear, I hope? I don't mind disagreeing, we certainly have in the past on a few things, I just want to make sure that I'm understanding your argument, and that you're understanding mine. I'm not convinced I do understand your argument though, because I don't 'get' why you think your conclusion is accurate. Again, don't care if I disagree with it...I'm just not seeing the logic of it even, and I'm certain it's there because neither you or Eckert are slouches, IE I'm certain you're not going with it 'cause it 'feels' that way, there's logical reasons. I'm just not seeing 'em.
Quote:
In the rain.
--J.D.
If you clear it up for me, I'll send you a private NBL picture you'll like...in the rain~